Coinbase Expects Crypto Comeback in Q3 2025 After Volatile Spring

Coinbase’s April report is out - and though the short-term may be a bit rocky, there’s reason to believe the market could turn a corner before long.

In the next 4 to 6 weeks, we could see more ups and downs across the crypto market. But Coinbase believes things will start settling down by mid-to-late Q2 (May to June 2025), setting the stage for a stronger second half of the year.

What's Happening Right Now?

Crypto’s going through a rough patch. Bitcoin and the COIN50 index (which tracks the 50 biggest cryptocurrencies) have both dropped below their 200-day moving averages. That’s often taken as an early sign of a downtrend—or at least a pause in momentum. Coinbase points to global economic jitters and fresh trade tensions, particularly between the US and China, as the main reasons behind the recent market dip. The yuan has hit its lowest level in 18 years, and the Fear & Greed Index is flashing “extreme fear” to start the year. In short: people are being cautious. And when traditional markets get shaky, risk assets like crypto often take the hit first. But that doesn’t mean all hope is lost. Far from it.

Mid-Year Could Mark a Turnaround

Despite the shaky start, Coinbase isn’t all doom and gloom. They’re actually optimistic about what’s coming next. Their forecast suggests the market could find its footing by June. That would open the door for a much stronger Q3—historically a time when crypto tends to bounce back after a weak Q1 or Q2. This has happened before. In 2020, after Bitcoin dropped to $3,850 in March, it steadied itself by May and kicked off a long rally later that year. A similar pattern could be forming now.

What's Driving the Optimism?

There are a few key reasons:

Institutional buying is growing, especially through spot Bitcoin ETFs. ARK Invest is calling 2025 a year of “unprecedented growth” for crypto. Looser monetary policy and falling bond yields in Q2 could shift more capital toward riskier assets. US crypto regulation is slowly becoming clearer, which helps build investor confidence. And then there’s the Bitcoin halving, which historically leads to big price moves in the months that follow. That cycle lines up neatly with Q3 this year.

Bottom Line

Yes, markets are jittery right now. But there’s a solid case to be made that we’re just in the quiet part before things turn around. Coinbase is urging investors to stay alert, think long-term, and be ready for what’s coming. And here at tether.bet, we’re seeing more and more people turning to crypto not just as an investment—but as a way to engage, bet, and play in a space that’s constantly evolving. If this year feels uncertain so far, that’s okay.

Better days could be just around the corner.